Tuesday, September 29, 2009

NFL Week 4

L cincy -6
W giants -9
W jags +3
L detroit +10
W denver +3
W sf -9
gb +5 2 units
gb under 47 1 unit

4-2 +1.8

leaning on broncos +3

College Week 5

1*
L va tech -17 -1.1 units
W alabama -17 +1 unit
PUSH air force +3
L florida state -4 -1.1 units
W la tech under 58 +1 unit
W uab +11 +1 unit
W colorado +18 +1 unit
W pitt -7 +1 unit
W utah st +24.5 +1 unit

2*
W tulsa -14 +2 units
L cincy -28 -2.2 units
L texas tech -36 -2.2 units
L clemson -14 -2.2 units
W virginia +14 +2 units
W penn state -6 +2 units
L vandy +10 -2.2 units
W miami fl +7.5 +2 units
W idaho +4.5 +2 units
W arkansas -2 +2 units

leaning on ga tech, arkansas, washington, vandy

trying to stay away from 1* plays as they are my downfall

Monday, September 28, 2009

NBA

anyone have any NBA systems they follow? Albert, I remember you said you had something that only played abt 6 games a season?

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Updated College Record

1 unit plays continue to get me. Will probably have to stop playing my leans and just focus on my 2 unit and plus plays.

Ytd Recap: 23-36-1. -17.2 units.
1* 10-27-1. -20 units.
2* 12-6. +10.8 units
3* 1-2. -3.6 units.
4* 0-1. -4.4 units.

Week 4 Recap: 7-7. +2.3 units.
1* 4-7. -3.7 units.
2* 3-0. +6 units.

Week 3 Recap: 3-9-1. -8.3 units.
1* 0-6-1. -6.6 units.
2* 3-2. +1.6 units.
3* 0-1. -3.3 units.

Week 2 Recap: 10-10. -2.7 units
1* 5-6. -1.7 units
2* 5-3. +3.4 units
4* 0-1. -4.4 units

Week 1 Recap: 3-10. -8.5 units.
1* 1-8. -8 units.
2* 1-1. -.2 units.
3* 1-1. -.3 units.

NFL Week 3: I'm back!

I've been out of the country for the beginning of the football season but now I am back and ready to watch some football. Here are my picks for this week...

Texans -4.5 1 unit (L)

Jets -1 1 unit (W)

Cardinals -3 1 unit (L)

Panthers +8.5 1 unit (L)



Record 1-3 -2.048 units

Saturday, September 26, 2009

chalk city

Atrocious last week. Just playing 3 games and laying chalk with three home teams. I need to update my record. I'll do that after this weekends games

CFB:
Auburn -32 [2 units]
Penn State -9.5 [2 units]
USC -45.5 [2 units]

^
|
|
|
awesome

Friday, September 25, 2009

NFL Week 3 Pick 5 System

Time for a winning week. Here are the picks.

NY Giants v Tampa Bay: Tampa Bay +6.5 L

Green Bay v St. Louis: Over 41 W

Tennessee v NY Jets: Tennessee +1 L
Bookmaker only has Tenn +3 so I took that

New Orleans v Buffalo: Under 51.5 W (Not a fan of this pick at all. I think Buffalo's offense can hold its own, and we all know about NO already.)

Indianapolis v Arizona: Over 48 L

Week 3: 2-3 *-1.7 units
Overall: 6
-9 *-4.3 units

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

College Football Week 4

looking at Iowa+10, miss st +14 and va tech +3, kansas -14, and texas tech

iowa can hang with penn state.

lsu can't cover 2 tds vs a decent miss st steam

va tech looks like it has a more talented team and everybody is falling for the hype on miami

W south carolina +5 2 units.
W va tech +3 2 units
W iowa +10 2 units

so far for 1 unit
W south carolina +2.5 1st half
L army +10
L ark st -2.5
W miss st +14
L nevada +8
L arkansas +18
W nebraska -28
W so. miss +14
L texas tech -1
L rice +7
L usc -46

1* 4-7. -3.7 units.
2* 3-0. +6 units.

Week 4
7-7. +2.3 units.

NFL WEEK 3

L titans +3. 2 units
L houston -4. 1 unit
W cincy +4. 1 unit
L tampa +7. 1 unit
W green bay over 43 1 unit
W NO under 51 1 unit
L indy over 48 2 units
L zona -3 2 units
W miami under 45 1 unit
L minny uner 39 1 unit
L carolina +10 bought a pt
W carolina under 48.5

5-7 -5.2 units

Monday, September 21, 2009

Updated College Record

this is by far my worst start ever but will get back on track. so far 3 losing weeks in a row. crazy how things don't go the way you want. terrible cappers like mistaflava are hitting all their plays. anyways, my 1* are going terrible. will probably lay off those this week but keep track if i would have played them.

Ytd Recap: 16-29-1. -19.5 units.
1* 6-20-1. -16.3 units.
2* 9-6. +4.8 units
3* 1-2. -3.6 units.
4* 0-1. -4.4 units

Week 3 Recap: 3-9-1. -8.3 units.
1* 0-6-1. -6.6 units.
2* 3-2. +1.6 units.
3* 0-1. -3.3 units.

Week 2 Recap: 10-10. -2.7 units
1* 5-6. -1.7 units
2* 5-3. +3.4 units
4* 0-1. -4.4 units

Week 1 Recap: 3-10. -8.5 units.
1* 1-8. -8 units.
2* 1-1. -.2 units.
3* 1-1. -.3 units.

Friday, September 18, 2009

NFL Week 2

I laid off on college football this week except for the miami game.
Miami -4 *1.5 units W

Gotta lay the line w/ the texas game. watchin gameday this morning may have pumped me up too much.
Texas -18 *2 units L

Now onto the pick 5 for the week. Just for future notice he usually doesn't send out the picks until about Friday, which he notes hasn't really made a difference in the past as far as line changes go.

I'm not completely sure about all the picks this week, namely Miami, but I do agree that Carolina way underperformed last week and can keep this one close. Chicago also seems like a gutsy play, but that may be because I think the steelers are the real deal here and is superbowl bound. Thoughts welcome guys.

Sunday:
Carolina v Atlanta: Carolina +6.5
L

Arizona v Jacksonville: Jacksonville -3
L

Seattle v San Fransisco: Under 39.5
W

Pittsburgh v Chicago: Chicago +3
W

Monday:
Indianapolis v Miami: Miami +3 L

Week 2: 2-3 *-1.3 units
Overall: 4
-6 *-2.6 units

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Week 3

I'm gonna lay the chalk with Miami tonight. Line is down to -4. I also placed a wager on Kentucky at -12.5 earlier this week. Line up is up to -13.5 now.

CFB:
Miami -4 [2 units] W
Kentucky -12.5 [2 units] L
SMU -6 [2 units] L
UL Monroe +20.5 [1 unit] L
UL Monroe ML +1000 [.2 units] L
Texas -18 [2 units] (yep, back to the well... this means UT will win by 17) L
Baylor -10 (-120) [2 units] L

NFL:
I played Tims posted picks

Monday, September 14, 2009

Week 3 College Football

W Miami -4. 2 units. +2
L Miami over 54. 1 unit. -1.1
L Arkansas -1. 2 units. -2.2
L Texas -17. 2 units. -2.2
W Kansas -21. 2 units. +2
PUSH California -14. 1 unit
L Florida -28. 3 units. -3.3
L BYU -7. 1 unit. -1.1
L SMU -7. 1 unit. -1.1
L Ok State -32. 1 unit. -1.1
L Akron -4. 1 unit. -1.1
L ECU +7.5 1 unit. -1.1
W South Carolina -21 2 units. +2

1* 0-6-1. -6.6 units
2* 3-2. +1.6 units
3* 0-1. -3.3 units

looking at UNT and Notre Dame and Baylor and Nebraska

that's more or less the final card for this week. If i see anything more will def add and units might increase

comments/thoughts welcome

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Recap of College Week 2

Ytd Recap: 13-20. -11.2 units.
1* 6-14. -9.7 units
2* 6-4. +3.2 units
3* 1-1. -.3 units.
4* 0-1. -4.4 units

Week 2 Recap: 10-10. -2.7 units
1* 5-6. -1.7 units
2* 5-3. +3.4 units
4* 0-1. -4.4 units

Week 1 Recap: 3-10. -8.5 units.
1* 1-8. -8 units.
2* 1-1. -.2 units.
3* 1-1. -.3 units.

Friday, September 11, 2009

NFL Week 1 Picks

Just got the email from him for the pick 5 this week. BTW, his pick 3 picks are listed on the RX as well as his forum here. http://mistermj.blogspot.com/. It looks like his pick 3's are the same as the first 3 of the pick 5 and he just pulls 2 more picks from his program.

Not known for ever collecting money, he is accepting $25 dollar donations in order to get the pick 5's. This $25 is for the whole season, not each week. He was offered money by someone other than just his regular followers to privatize his picks, and in order to make it a bit easier to access he's only asking for $25 rather than make us pay someone else a larger amount. Seeing as how he made me quite a bit of money in MLB and the fact that $25 is not that much for a whole season i gladly paid it.

Picks are as follows and all are to win 1 unit.

Philladelphia v Carolina: Under 43.5 L

Denver v Cincinnati: Cincinnati: -4 L

Dallas v Tampa Bay: Under 39 L

San Fransisco v Arizona: San Fransisco +6 W

San Fransisco v Arizona: Under 46 W

Week 1: 2-3 *-1.3 units
Overall:
2-3 *-1.3 units

NFL Pick 5 System

I've been doing a bit of research for the upcoming NFL season, and decided that I have found a capper/system that I will be using. He is the same guy that came up with his computer picks for the 2 game RL chase system in the MLB this season that I followed.

He has been using his pick 3 system for a while now, which is a computer system that pulls 3 games for him each week based on the filters he has programmed. I am not sure what filters he uses as these are not published, but this system has been performing consistently well for a while now, and last year was his first year picking 5 games instead of 3 to see what would happen. The 5 picks come out of the same program, and by season's end his units won were double that of the pick 3.

Pick 3 for 08 went 29-20-2 59.18% +$3500
Pick 5 for 08 went 51-32-2 61.45% +$7900
All picks are 1 unit each and he used $500 units.

I will be playing these 5 picks every week while laying off any other bets and bumping up my unit amount for the NFL. I'll post the 5 picks here every week if anyone is interested.

Hopefully this season is no different from past seasons, as he uses computer picks for NBA, NFL, and MLB. He's been quite successful in all sports, and after following him for a while as well as reading other people's thoughts on him who have followed him in the past, I've become a fan.

Thoughts anyone?

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Week 1 NFL

W titans +7 (bought 1/2 a point). 1 unit
L titans over 35. -1.1 units.
W sf+7 1 unit
W sf under 46 1 unit

leans toward dallas and SF. need to look further for more info

3-1. +1.9 units

This week

A few thoughts. I'm on Clemson +5.5 tonight for 2 units. I also like Titans and the over tonight. If Tenn gets to 7 I might have to hit that.

I was lookin at NFL lines and Minnesota -3 looks so obvious that I wonder if its a trap. Of course we all think Favre is non stop comedy (which he is) but Minnesota is a good team. If you can run the ball and get to the QB in the NFL you're better than most everyone already. Fierce pass rush vs. a young QB is tempting. I think this line will only go up and I can't see how it won't be a popular play this week. I think I'm gonna wait and if this line doesn't move I'm gonna lay off cuz it will be too fishy. If Minn wins I think they'll win by two scores easily so I don't mind if the line moves on me. Don't get that line at all.

Update: For the rest of my NFL picks just gonna tail the system picks from above, flat bet each for 2 units. Didn't have much time to do a lot of research for CFB so I went with some concensus picks.

CFB:
Clemson +5.5 [2 units] W
Texas -32 [1 unit] L
UNC -4.5 [1 unit] L
Fresno +8.5 [1 unit] W
Pitt -10 (-120) [1 unit] W
TCU -11 [1 unit] W

NFL:
Titans +7 (-120) [1 unit] W
system picks 2 units each (2-3)

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Florida v Troy

Florida at -36.5??? I don't know much about Troy, but didn't they get beat by bowling green last week? Can they even match up to Florida? Thoughts?

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Auburn v Miss St.

seems a bit to me like miss st is a bit overrated. they played so bad last week against an even worse team. i think they are going to get pretty beat up this coming week going up against an underrated auburn team at home. -14.5 for auburn looks like pretty good. what do you guys think?

Monday, September 7, 2009

Week 2 Picks

L Oregon -12. -4.4 units
W Texas Tech -28. +1 unit
L Ga Tech -5.5. -2.2 units
L Army -2.5. 1 unit. Army +1. 1 unit. -2.2 units
W UNT +3. +2 units.
W Boston College -21. +1 unit
W Wake Forest -3. +1 unit.
L Colorado -3. -1.2 units
L wash. state +2. -1.1 units
W Boise -37. +2 units.
L Air Force +4. -1.1 units
W Auburn -14. +2 units.
L S. Miss -14. -1.1 units
L La Tech. +8 -2.2 units
L Texas -33. -1.1 units
W Over 67 Houston/OK State. +2 units.
L penn state -30. -1.1 units
W fresno st +8.5. +1 unit
W kansas -13. +2 units.
W ohio state +7.5. +1 unit

Week 2 Recap
1* 5-6. -1.7 units
2* 5-3. +3.4 units
4* 0-1. -4.4 units

Total 10-10. -2.7 units

lotta action going on

Colorado is terrible. Not betting on them again this season

Oregon and Colorado: great spot for a bounce back after a terrible game 1.
Ga tech: triple option should give clemson some problems
Texas Tech/Boise St/BC: they can name the score here
UNT: Dodge is a great qb. quick decisions and quick feet. definitely good enough to pull the upset
Wake Forest: stanford flying from east to west coast playing a game in the morning?
Wash. State: a game where wash state is not the worst team out of the two.
Air Force: scoring 72-0 last week. better team than minny here.

what a crazy week 1

so many teams under performing and many teams i thought were better than they really were. i think oregon is in good spot this coming up week and lsu too. will be looking more into it soon

recap of week 1:
1 unit plays: 1-8. -8 units.
2 unit plays: 1-1. -.2 units.
3 unit plays: 1-1. -.3 units.

Week 1: 3-10. -8.5 units

Week 2 Picks

Hopefully this ridiculous week 1 is behind us and we can look foward to week 2.

Plays locked in so far:
USC -7 *1 unit L
Auburn -14 *1 unit W
Texas Tech -28 *1 unit W
Penn State -29 *2 units L
Florida -36.5 *1.5 units W

Luckily, my georgia tech bet never registered
Overall record 3-2 +.5 units

Sunday, September 6, 2009

Well....

That was a bloodbath. Lost all my 2 unit plays including the backdoor loss with UT. Thinking about Colorado tonight but that line jumped. I like Miami tomorrow night too. I updated my W's and L's, will update units later. Still have Cincy pending tomorrow night.
adding memphis +18

Saturday, September 5, 2009

BOL!

Well we've all been waiting for this saturday for quite long time now, so best of luck guys! let's make some coin.

Thursday, September 3, 2009

Someone explain this to me

Whats with all the Irish love? I'm seeing it with yalls picks and I'm seeing it on forums too. I've seen people say they liked how ND looked at the end of the season. Are they getting that much respect cuz they beat up on Hawaii in the bowl game, cuz ND pretty much shit the bed down the stretch before having a good showing in the bowl. Why does everyone expect so much improvement from them this year? Nevada may not be a major conference team but honestly is ND? Nevada might just be able to win this game outright because what evidence do we even have that the Irish can stop Nevada's run game. Reno returns a lot of the same starters from a pretty salty offensive attack. Why is ND laying 2 TD's and why is everyone all over their nuts?

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

CFB Week 1 Picks!

Looks like we all have a lot of similar picks. These are the ones I have locked in and probably will keep it as is. JK, i've been adding a few plays here and there.

My biggest play of the week is penn state. I think they will absolutely tear it up this week against akron and will be winning by over 30 points. I'm guessing 42-10 or somewhere in the area.

Texas -41 *1 unit L
ND -13.5 *1 unit W
Minnesota -6.5 *1 unit, also bought minny at -7 *2 units L
Penn St. -26.5 *3 units, also bought at -27 for *2 units L
NC State -3 *1.5 units L
Illinois -6.5 *1 unit
L
Colorado -10 *1 unit L
Stanford -16.5 *1 unit W

Lean that I'm still thinking about
LSU -17.5

Here is what i have thus far for Week 1 - updated

W ball state -18. 1 unit. buying this back and going on UNT+18. 2 units. +.9 units.
L nc state at -3. 1 unit. i think it's at -5 now. -1.2 units.
L oregon +5. 1 unit. -1.1 units.
L minny -7. 3 units. -3.3 units.
W notre dame -13.5. 3 units. +3 units.
W stanford -17. 2 units. +2 units.
L texas -42. -1.1 units.
L colorado -11. -2.2 units.
L utep -7. 1 unit. bought it at -8 as well for 1 unit. -1.1 units.
L penn state -27. -1.1 units.
L georgia +6. -1.1 units.
L illinois -7. -1.1 units.
L memphis +18. -1.1 units.

1 unit plays: 1-8. -8 units.
2 unit plays: 1-1. -.2 units.
3 unit plays: 1-1. -.3 units.

Week 1: 3-10. -8.5 units. what a terrible first week. good thing this is a marathon

lines may have changed a bit as i bought these a while ago. discussion welcome

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

CFB Week 1

Just addded first plays. I'll add to this post as I add more:

Texas -41 [2 units] L
Texas 1H -24 (-115) [1 unit] W
OU -22.5 [1 unit] L
Cincy +6 [.5 unit] W
Cincy ML +195 [.5 unit] W
Alabama -6 [1 unit] (might add more to this, i don't understand this line.... updated, gonna stick with just 1 unit) W
Minnesota -6.5 [1 unit] L
Minnesota -7 [1 unit] L
UNT/Ball State O58 [1 unit] L
Illinois -6.5 [2 units] L
Auburn -13.5 [1 unit] W
No. Illinois v. Wisc U50 [.5 unit] W
W. Michigan v. Mich O53 [1 unit] L

Everything is -110 unless otherwise stated.

ready to roll

just loaded up my account for 500 and got a 25% bonus on bookmaker. Its 25TOGO for the promo code. Dunno if its only available to certain people cuz I've placed so many bets there but if anyone deposits into bookmaker you can try out that code and see if it works. Theres a 5x rollover though. I think I'm gonna roll with $25 units.

I'm almost certainly taking Texas -41 and Texas 1st half (when they post 1st half lines). I'll post when I make it official and for how many units.