I'm gonna evaluate each of Dshaw's bets from last night to give a different perspective on them. I don't know who dshaw is but don't take it personally. Just giving you my take. fwiw, the only results in terms of w/l that i know out of these are the Rangers game and the Dodgers game. So even if you won the bet doesn't mean its a good bet in the long run. Here goes:
Orioles(Baltimore)           Matusz                     
      Tigers(Detroit) Washburn -1.5 2 units
I don't know what the line is here. But RL is a red flag, especially with a mediocre team.
Brewers(Milwaukee)           Gallardo                   
    Dodgers(LA) Kuroda                    -1.5 (+170) 2 units
Laying RL again against a really good pitcher in Gallardo. Is there really value in this?
Cardinals(StLouis)           Pineiro                   
    Mets(NY) Santana                        -108 1 unit
I like this. Getting Santana at near even money (-110) is a decent proposition.
Rangers(Texas)           Holland              -120 1 unit
          Athletics(Oakland) 
Laying money on a rookie as a fave on the road who just came off the best start of his career. A rookie who up to this point has displayed control problems against a team that at least will work a count. Books are salivating. If Holland hadn't just pitched a 1 hitter in 8 2/3 this line probably would have been Texas EVEN or -110. Public perception probably pumped this line up.
                 
Marlins(Florida)           Johnson            -167 1 unit
          Nationals(Washington) Martin 
Steep price on the Marlins on the road as a huge fave. Whats the point?
You guys need to GTFO with these RLs or start limiting them.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
PULL NO PUNCHES
ReplyDeleteno more mlb. waiting for nfl and cfb!
ReplyDelete