Thursday, September 10, 2009

This week

A few thoughts. I'm on Clemson +5.5 tonight for 2 units. I also like Titans and the over tonight. If Tenn gets to 7 I might have to hit that.

I was lookin at NFL lines and Minnesota -3 looks so obvious that I wonder if its a trap. Of course we all think Favre is non stop comedy (which he is) but Minnesota is a good team. If you can run the ball and get to the QB in the NFL you're better than most everyone already. Fierce pass rush vs. a young QB is tempting. I think this line will only go up and I can't see how it won't be a popular play this week. I think I'm gonna wait and if this line doesn't move I'm gonna lay off cuz it will be too fishy. If Minn wins I think they'll win by two scores easily so I don't mind if the line moves on me. Don't get that line at all.

Update: For the rest of my NFL picks just gonna tail the system picks from above, flat bet each for 2 units. Didn't have much time to do a lot of research for CFB so I went with some concensus picks.

CFB:
Clemson +5.5 [2 units] W
Texas -32 [1 unit] L
UNC -4.5 [1 unit] L
Fresno +8.5 [1 unit] W
Pitt -10 (-120) [1 unit] W
TCU -11 [1 unit] W

NFL:
Titans +7 (-120) [1 unit] W
system picks 2 units each (2-3)

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Florida v Troy

Florida at -36.5??? I don't know much about Troy, but didn't they get beat by bowling green last week? Can they even match up to Florida? Thoughts?

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Auburn v Miss St.

seems a bit to me like miss st is a bit overrated. they played so bad last week against an even worse team. i think they are going to get pretty beat up this coming week going up against an underrated auburn team at home. -14.5 for auburn looks like pretty good. what do you guys think?

Monday, September 7, 2009

Week 2 Picks

L Oregon -12. -4.4 units
W Texas Tech -28. +1 unit
L Ga Tech -5.5. -2.2 units
L Army -2.5. 1 unit. Army +1. 1 unit. -2.2 units
W UNT +3. +2 units.
W Boston College -21. +1 unit
W Wake Forest -3. +1 unit.
L Colorado -3. -1.2 units
L wash. state +2. -1.1 units
W Boise -37. +2 units.
L Air Force +4. -1.1 units
W Auburn -14. +2 units.
L S. Miss -14. -1.1 units
L La Tech. +8 -2.2 units
L Texas -33. -1.1 units
W Over 67 Houston/OK State. +2 units.
L penn state -30. -1.1 units
W fresno st +8.5. +1 unit
W kansas -13. +2 units.
W ohio state +7.5. +1 unit

Week 2 Recap
1* 5-6. -1.7 units
2* 5-3. +3.4 units
4* 0-1. -4.4 units

Total 10-10. -2.7 units

lotta action going on

Colorado is terrible. Not betting on them again this season

Oregon and Colorado: great spot for a bounce back after a terrible game 1.
Ga tech: triple option should give clemson some problems
Texas Tech/Boise St/BC: they can name the score here
UNT: Dodge is a great qb. quick decisions and quick feet. definitely good enough to pull the upset
Wake Forest: stanford flying from east to west coast playing a game in the morning?
Wash. State: a game where wash state is not the worst team out of the two.
Air Force: scoring 72-0 last week. better team than minny here.

what a crazy week 1

so many teams under performing and many teams i thought were better than they really were. i think oregon is in good spot this coming up week and lsu too. will be looking more into it soon

recap of week 1:
1 unit plays: 1-8. -8 units.
2 unit plays: 1-1. -.2 units.
3 unit plays: 1-1. -.3 units.

Week 1: 3-10. -8.5 units

Week 2 Picks

Hopefully this ridiculous week 1 is behind us and we can look foward to week 2.

Plays locked in so far:
USC -7 *1 unit L
Auburn -14 *1 unit W
Texas Tech -28 *1 unit W
Penn State -29 *2 units L
Florida -36.5 *1.5 units W

Luckily, my georgia tech bet never registered
Overall record 3-2 +.5 units

Sunday, September 6, 2009

Well....

That was a bloodbath. Lost all my 2 unit plays including the backdoor loss with UT. Thinking about Colorado tonight but that line jumped. I like Miami tomorrow night too. I updated my W's and L's, will update units later. Still have Cincy pending tomorrow night.